Match

Ospitaletto vs Novara: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 26Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, Ospitaletto

OspitalettoNovara

The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ospitaletto vs Novara?

A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Ospitaletto (1,713) and Novara (1,757).

Ospitaletto win38 %
Draw30 %
Novara win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ospitaletto have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Novara have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ospitaletto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026Trento(away)1-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Rovato Vertovese(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Padova(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Novara(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Novara
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 16, 2026Alcione(away)1-0Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 5, 2026Virtus Entella(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Sampdoria(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Ospitaletto(away)2-0Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ospitaletto win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Novara win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 25, 2026Ospitaletto 0-2 NovaraSerie C - Girone A
Dec 21, 2025Novara 0-3 OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Ospitaletto vs Novara on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ospitaletto1.51.358/159/15
Novara1.31.158/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ospitaletto sit 4th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Novara sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Ospitaletto1100203
18Novara1001010

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ospitaletto vs Novara?
The Footlab model makes Ospitaletto the favourite at 38%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
Where and when is Ospitaletto vs Novara played?
Ospitaletto vs Novara is played on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Ospitaletto, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ospitaletto and Novara

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