Match

Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 26Kick-off on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio XXV Aprile, Carate Brianza

Folgore CarateseLumezzane

The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Lumezzane. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folgore Caratese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,615 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Folgore Caratese (1,769) and Lumezzane (1,745).

39%30%31%
Folgore Caratese winDrawLumezzane win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Folgore Caratese

4-3-3
  1. 9S. Spalluto
  2. 61A. Santarcangelo
  3. 10A. Vacca
  1. 8F. Castellano
  2. 99F. D'Amico
  3. 92A. Tessiore
  1. 21E. Gega
  2. 11M. Balzano
  3. 43Alessandro Bassino
  4. 24E. Bellia
  1. 1D. Salvalaggio

Lumezzane

4-3-3
  1. 32G. Anatriello
  2. 9T. Ebone
  3. 11A. Ghillani
  1. 19M. Rolando
  2. 17Sasha Mancini
  3. 8M. Rocca
  1. 30A. Boffelli
  2. 90S. Nwachukwu
  3. 15M. Ndiaye
  4. 21J. Deratti
  1. 13L. Andrenacci

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:34 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folgore Caratese have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Lumezzane have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folgore Caratese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Treviso(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 11, 2026Trento(away)0-1Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Desenzano Calvina(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A
Sep 26, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Sep 20, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-1Serie C - Girone A
Lumezzane
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Athletic Carpi(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Oct 13, 2026Juventus U23(away)0-0Serie C - Girone A
Oct 10, 2026Albinoleffe(home)3-2Serie C - Girone A
Oct 3, 2026Inter(away)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 26, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)1-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Folgore Caratese win, 0 draws, 2 Lumezzane wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Lumezzane 1-2 Folgore CarateseSerie C - Girone A
Jan 8, 2023Lumezzane 3-0 Folgore CarateseSerie D - Girone B
Sep 4, 2022Folgore Caratese 0-4 LumezzaneSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Lumezzane vs Folgore Caratese on Sep 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Folgore Caratese score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lumezzane score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Folgore Caratese0.91.338/156/15
Lumezzane0.91.357/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Folgore Caratese sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (6 points from 10 matches) and Lumezzane sit 11th (12 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Lumezzane10334111412
18Folgore Caratese101369156

A question about Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane?
The Footlab AI model makes Folgore Caratese the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Lumezzane.
Where and when is Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane played?
Folgore Caratese vs Lumezzane is played on February 10, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio XXV Aprile, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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