Match

Renate vs Ospitaletto: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Mino Favini, Meda

RenateOspitaletto

The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Ospitaletto. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renate vs Ospitaletto?

Renate starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,713).

Renate win48 %
Draw27 %
Ospitaletto win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renate have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Ospitaletto have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renate
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Alcione(away)1-3Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Lumezzane(away)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Città di Varese(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 13, 2026Casarano(home)0-3Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
May 10, 2026Casarano(away)2-0Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Ospitaletto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lumezzane(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026Trento(away)1-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Rovato Vertovese(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Padova(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Novara(home)0-2Serie C - Girone A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Renate win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Ospitaletto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 8, 2026Ospitaletto 1-1 RenateSerie C - Girone A
Sep 25, 2025Renate 1-2 OspitalettoSerie C - Girone A

Last archived meeting: Ospitaletto vs Renate on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Renate score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ospitaletto score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Renate1.71.368/1511/15
Ospitaletto1.51.358/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renate sit 16th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Ospitaletto sit 4th (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Ospitaletto1100203
16Renate1001130

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renate vs Ospitaletto?
The Footlab model makes Renate the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Ospitaletto.
Where and when is Renate vs Ospitaletto played?
Renate vs Ospitaletto is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Mino Favini, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Renate and Ospitaletto

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