Ossese vs Paganese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ossese the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Paganese. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ossese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ossese vs Paganese?
A very open match: only 49 Elo points separate Ossese (1,649) and Paganese (1,698).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ossese vs Paganese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ossese
Not enough data to predict the Ossese lineup.
Paganese
Not enough data to predict the Paganese lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:51 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, Ossese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Paganese have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Venafro(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sarnese(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Unipomezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Trastevere(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Sarnese(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Gelbison(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Trastevere(away) | 6-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Ossese score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 7; Paganese score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ossese | 1.4 | 0.9 | 3 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
| Paganese | 1.8 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ossese sit 5th in Serie D - Girone G (11 points from 6 matches) and Paganese sit 7th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ossese | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | Paganese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 10 |
A question about Ossese vs Paganese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ossese vs Paganese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ossese the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Paganese.
- Where and when is Ossese vs Paganese played?
- Ossese vs Paganese is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.