Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 27Kick-off on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Is Arranas, Tertenia
The Footlab model makes Sarnese the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Sarrabus Ogliastra (1,652) and Sarnese (1,723).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sarrabus Ogliastra have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Sarnese have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Olbia(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Valmontone(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Real Monterotondo(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Budoni(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Cassino(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone G |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | Cavese(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 10, 2026 | Pompei(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 3, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(away) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Fidelis Andria(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Sarrabus Ogliastra win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Sarnese win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2025 | Sarrabus Ogliastra 1-2 Sarnese | Serie D - Girone G |
| Dec 22, 2024 | Sarnese 0-2 Sarrabus Ogliastra | Serie D - Girone G |
Last archived meeting: Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese on May 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Sarrabus Ogliastra score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Sarnese score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarrabus Ogliastra | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Sarnese | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sarrabus Ogliastra | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 51 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese?
- The Footlab model makes Sarnese the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
- Where and when is Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese played?
- Sarrabus Ogliastra vs Sarnese is played on March 14, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Is Arranas, in the Serie D - Girone G.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.