Match

Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone GGroup G - 14Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

OsseseSarrabus Ogliastra

The Footlab AI model makes Ossese the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sarrabus Ogliastra. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ossese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,732 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

Ossese starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,621).

50%27%23%
Ossese winDrawSarrabus Ogliastra win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Ossese

Not enough data to predict the Ossese lineup.

Sarrabus Ogliastra

Not enough data to predict the Sarrabus Ogliastra lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 06:04 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Ossese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Sarrabus Ogliastra have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ossese
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Gelbison(away)1-2Serie D - Girone G
Oct 11, 2026Venafro(home)1-1Serie D - Girone G
Oct 4, 2026Afragolese(away)2-0Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Sarnese(home)2-2Serie D - Girone G
Sep 20, 2026Unipomezia(away)0-2Serie D - Girone G
Sarrabus Ogliastra
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026Trastevere(away)2-3Serie D - Girone G
Oct 11, 2026Afragolese(home)0-0Serie D - Girone G
Oct 7, 2026Latte Dolce(away)0-3Coppa Italia Serie D
Oct 4, 2026Latte Dolce(away)0-1Serie D - Girone G
Sep 27, 2026Unipomezia(home)2-2Serie D - Girone G

How many goals should we expect?

Ossese score 1.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 8; Sarrabus Ogliastra score 0.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ossese1.41.034/83/8
Sarrabus Ogliastra0.81.347/156/15

Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ossese sit 6th in Serie D - Girone G (12 points from 7 matches) and Sarrabus Ogliastra sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Ossese733110612
15Sarrabus Ogliastra7133586

A question about Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra?
The Footlab AI model makes Ossese the favourite at 50%, against 27% for a draw and 23% for Sarrabus Ogliastra.
Where and when is Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra played?
Ossese vs Sarrabus Ogliastra is played on November 29, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone G.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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