Ostia Mare vs Latina: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 27Kick-off on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
The Footlab AI model makes Latina the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Latina wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Latina?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ostia Mare (1,794) and Latina (1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ostia Mare vs Latina
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 27M. Vagnoni
- 1F. Vertua
Latina
3-5-2- 7J. Báez
- 70G. Tomaselli
- 4A. De Cristofaro
- 27Sonny D'Angelo
- 30R. De Ciancio
- 36J. Lipani
- 10A. Riccardi
- 2E. Ercolano
- 13F. Marenco
- 5M. Bruscagin
- 67D. Mastrantonio
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Latina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sambenedettese(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Ostia Mare(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Ostia Mare win, 3 draws, 0 Latina wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina 1-1 Ostia Mare | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Latina 1-1 Ostia Mare | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jan 5, 2020 | Latina 1-2 Ostia Mare | Serie D - Girone G |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Ostia Mare 2-2 Latina | Serie D - Girone G |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Latina score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Latina | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostia Mare sit 14th in Serie C - Girone B (9 points from 9 matches) and Latina sit 13th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Latina | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 | Ostia Mare | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Ostia Mare vs Latina?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostia Mare vs Latina?
- The Footlab AI model makes Latina the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Ostia Mare vs Latina played?
- Ostia Mare vs Latina is played on February 14, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Anco Marzio, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.