Ostia Mare vs Spezia: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 13Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Anco Marzio, Lido di Ostia
The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ostia Mare. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spezia wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Ostia Mare (1,814) and Spezia (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ostia Mare vs Spezia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ostia Mare
4-3-3- 77F. Tosku
- 17F. D'Andrea
- 9R. Tonin
- 32F. Casolari
- 71F. Carbone
- 8D. Greco
- 13R. Brosco
- 4D. Piroli
- 5P. Giordani
- 66Antonio Castaldo
- 1F. Vertua
Spezia
4-2-3-1- 9S. Mazzocchi
- 70K. Bright
- 14G. Capomaggio
- 24C. Limonelli
- 10K. Jimenez
- 8A. Florenzi
- 13M. Å apola
- 72S. Capolupo
- 6R. Sganzerla
- 37A. Matějů
- 1A. Micai
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 02:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostia Mare have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Spezia have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Latina(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gubbio(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ravenna(home) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Torres(away) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Reggiana(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Perugia(away) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Livorno(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostia Mare score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spezia score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostia Mare | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Spezia | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostia Mare sit 13th in Serie C - Girone B (8 points from 8 matches) and Spezia sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 22 |
| 13 | Ostia Mare | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spezia the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Ostia Mare.
- Where and when is Ostia Mare vs Spezia played?
- Ostia Mare vs Spezia is played on November 8, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Anco Marzio, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.