Ostiches vs Stockay-Warfusée: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Géants, Ath
The Footlab model makes Ostiches the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Stockay-Warfusée. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostiches vs Stockay-Warfusée?
Ostiches starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostiches have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Stockay-Warfusée have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aywaille(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Braine(away) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Richelle United(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Raeren-Eynatten(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Standard Liège II(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostiches score 1.3 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Stockay-Warfusée score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostiches | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Stockay-Warfusée | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ostiches | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostiches vs Stockay-Warfusée?
- The Footlab model makes Ostiches the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Stockay-Warfusée.
- Where and when is Ostiches vs Stockay-Warfusée played?
- Ostiches vs Stockay-Warfusée is played on October 3, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Géants, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.