La Calamine vs Aywaille: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 7Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Stade Prince Philippe, La Calamine
The Footlab model makes La Calamine the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Aywaille. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win La Calamine vs Aywaille?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate La Calamine (1,801) and Aywaille (1,719).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, La Calamine have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aywaille have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | RUS Binche(home) | 1-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Stade Verviers(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Flénu(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Onhaye(away) | 0-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ostiches(away) | 0-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Jul 29, 2026 | AS Eupen(away) | 0-8 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Liège(home) | 0-7 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Richelle United(away) | 1-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Acren-Lessines(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 La Calamine win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Aywaille win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | La Calamine 4-3 Aywaille | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Aywaille 3-1 La Calamine | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Aywaille 3-1 La Calamine | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 27, 2024 | La Calamine 2-0 Aywaille | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Jan 8, 2023 | Aywaille 0-0 La Calamine | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
| Oct 15, 2022 | La Calamine 0-0 Aywaille | Third Amateur Division - ACFF B |
Last archived meeting: La Calamine vs Aywaille on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
La Calamine score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Aywaille score 1.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| La Calamine | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Aywaille | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aywaille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for La Calamine vs Aywaille?
- The Footlab model makes La Calamine the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Aywaille.
- Where and when is La Calamine vs Aywaille played?
- La Calamine vs Aywaille is played on October 3, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Prince Philippe, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.