Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 7Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Camomilles, Deux-Acren
The Footlab model makes Acren-Lessines the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Union Namur. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur?
Acren-Lessines starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,790 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acren-Lessines have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Union Namur have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-3 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Aywaille(away) | 1-3 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tournai(home) | 3-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Sporting Bruxelles(away) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Huy(home) | 4-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ganshoren(home) | 2-5 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| May 10, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 0-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(away) | 2-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(home) | 1-3 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Acren-Lessines win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Union Namur win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2023 | Union Namur 6-1 Acren-Lessines | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Nov 26, 2022 | Acren-Lessines 0-4 Union Namur | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Aug 24, 2019 | Union Namur 3-2 Acren-Lessines | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
Last archived meeting: Union Namur vs Acren-Lessines on Mar 11, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Acren-Lessines score 2.1 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union Namur score 1.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acren-Lessines | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Union Namur | 1.3 | 2.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Union Namur | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur?
- The Footlab model makes Acren-Lessines the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Union Namur.
- Where and when is Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur played?
- Acren-Lessines vs Union Namur is played on October 4, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Camomilles, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.