Ostrov vs Slovan Velvary: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion FK Ostrov, Ostrov
The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Velvary. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrov vs Slovan Velvary?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Ostrov (1,646) and Slovan Velvary (1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrov have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Slovan Velvary have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sokol Hostouň(away) | 0-6 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tempo Praha(home) | 2-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Klasterec n. Oh.(away) | 3-4 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Újezd Praha 4(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hvězda Cheb(away) | 4-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slaný(home) | 1-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Štětí(away) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brandýs nad Labem(home) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Baník Souš(home) | 0-1 | 3. liga - CFL B |
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrov score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Slovan Velvary score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrov | 1.7 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Slovan Velvary | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrov sit 16th in 4. liga - Divizie B (0 points from 2 matches) and Slovan Velvary sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Slovan Velvary | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
| 16 | Ostrov | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrov vs Slovan Velvary?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrov the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Slovan Velvary.
- Where and when is Ostrov vs Slovan Velvary played?
- Ostrov vs Slovan Velvary is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion FK Ostrov, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.