Štětí vs Chomutov: prediction and stats
4. liga - Divizie BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Městský Stadion, Štětí
The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Štětí. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Štětí vs Chomutov?
Chomutov starts as the favourite with a 179-point Elo edge (1,731 vs 1,552).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Štětí have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Chomutov have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slavoj Vyšehrad(away) | 1-3 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Slovan Velvary(home) | 1-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Varnsdorf(home) | 0-6 | Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ústí nad Labem II(home) | 5-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 1-0 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rapid Psáry(home) | 2-1 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Karlovy Vary(away) | 1-1 | Cup |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Baník Sokolov(away) | 2-2 | 4. liga - Divizie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Štětí win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Chomutov win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2026 | Štětí 0-1 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Chomutov 2-1 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Jun 8, 2024 | Chomutov 1-1 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Štětí 0-1 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Chomutov 3-1 Štětí | 4. liga - Divizie B |
| Aug 27, 2022 | Štětí 2-0 Chomutov | 4. liga - Divizie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Štětí score 1.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Chomutov score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Štětí | 1.9 | 2.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Chomutov | 2.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Štětí sit 11th in 4. liga - Divizie B (3 points from 3 matches) and Chomutov sit 1st (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chomutov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Štětí | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Štětí vs Chomutov?
- The Footlab model makes Chomutov the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Štětí.
- Where and when is Štětí vs Chomutov played?
- Štětí vs Chomutov is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Městský Stadion, in the 4. liga - Divizie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.