Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Arges Pitesti. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,704) and Arges Pitesti (1,769).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Arges Pitesti have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Uta Arad(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 17, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 0-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Oţelul win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arges Pitesti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | Oţelul 2-1 Arges Pitesti | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2025 | Arges Pitesti 2-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti on Dec 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Arges Pitesti score 0.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Arges Pitesti | 0.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 2/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 11th in Liga I (6 points from 5 matches) and Arges Pitesti sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arges Pitesti | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
| 11 | Oţelul | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti?
- The Footlab model makes Oţelul the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Arges Pitesti.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti played?
- Oţelul vs Arges Pitesti is played on August 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.