Oţelul vs FCSB: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi
The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oţelul vs FCSB?
A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,714) and FCSB (1,797).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FCSB have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CFR 1907 Cluj(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Botosani(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 0-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Farul Constanta(home) | 2-2 | Liga I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 FCSB win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | FCSB 4-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Oţelul 1-4 FCSB | Liga I |
| Sep 28, 2025 | FCSB 1-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Dec 2, 2024 | Oţelul 1-4 FCSB | Liga I |
| Jul 26, 2024 | FCSB 0-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Dec 3, 2023 | FCSB 0-2 Oţelul | Liga I |
How many goals should we expect?
Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| FCSB | 1.6 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oţelul sit 9th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and FCSB sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FCSB | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 11 |
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs FCSB?
- The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Oţelul vs FCSB played?
- Oţelul vs FCSB is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 13, 2027Universitatea CraiovavsCsikszereda
- Feb 13, 2027Dinamo BucurestivsSepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- Feb 13, 2027CFR 1907 ClujvsArges Pitesti
- Feb 13, 2027FC VoluntarivsCorvinul Hunedoara
- Feb 13, 2027Uta AradvsFC Botosani
- Feb 13, 2027Petrolul PloiestivsFarul Constanta
- Feb 13, 2027RapidvsUniversitatea Cluj