Match

Oţelul vs FCSB: prediction and stats

Liga IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Oţelul, Galaţi

OţelulFCSB

The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Oţelul vs FCSB?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate Oţelul (1,714) and FCSB (1,797).

Oţelul win32 %
Draw26 %
FCSB win42 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oţelul have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; FCSB have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Oţelul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Arges Pitesti(home)1-0Liga I
Aug 19, 2026Concordia(away)1-5Cupa României
Aug 16, 2026Universitatea Craiova(home)1-1Liga I
Aug 9, 2026Petrolul Ploiesti(away)0-1Liga I
Jul 31, 2026Dinamo Bucuresti(home)1-1Liga I
FCSB
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026CFR 1907 Cluj(away)0-1Liga I
Aug 17, 2026FC Botosani(home)3-2Liga I
Aug 10, 2026Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away)0-0Liga I
Aug 3, 2026Farul Constanta(home)2-2Liga I
Jul 30, 2026Auda(away)1-4UEFA Europa Conference League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oţelul win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 FCSB win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026FCSB 4-0 OţelulLiga I
Feb 8, 2026Oţelul 1-4 FCSBLiga I
Sep 28, 2025FCSB 1-0 OţelulLiga I
Dec 2, 2024Oţelul 1-4 FCSBLiga I
Jul 26, 2024FCSB 0-2 OţelulLiga I
Dec 3, 2023FCSB 0-2 OţelulLiga I

Last archived meeting: FCSB vs Oţelul on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; FCSB score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Oţelul1.51.449/157/15
FCSB1.61.548/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Oţelul sit 9th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and FCSB sit 2nd (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FCSB63219511
9Oţelul6231769

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Oţelul vs FCSB?
The Footlab model makes FCSB the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Oţelul.
Where and when is Oţelul vs FCSB played?
Oţelul vs FCSB is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Oţelul, in the Liga I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Oţelul and FCSB

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