Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanta: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 26Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Ilie Oană, Ploieşti
The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Farul Constanta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanta?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Petrolul Ploiesti (1,680) and Farul Constanta (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Petrolul Ploiesti have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Farul Constanta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Rapid(home) | 0-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 18, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 3-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FC Voluntari(away) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Oţelul(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(away) | 0-4 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Bihor Oradea(away) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Csikszereda(home) | 3-2 | Liga I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | FCSB(away) | 2-2 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Petrolul Ploiesti win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Farul Constanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Farul Constanta 2-0 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Jan 25, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Sep 1, 2025 | Farul Constanta 2-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Petrolul Ploiesti 0-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
| Feb 3, 2025 | Farul Constanta 2-1 Petrolul Ploiesti | Liga I |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Petrolul Ploiesti 1-1 Farul Constanta | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Farul Constanta vs Petrolul Ploiesti on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Petrolul Ploiesti score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Farul Constanta score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Farul Constanta | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Petrolul Ploiesti sit 10th in Liga I (9 points from 6 matches) and Farul Constanta sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
| 10 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanta?
- The Footlab model makes Petrolul Ploiesti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Farul Constanta.
- Where and when is Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanta played?
- Petrolul Ploiesti vs Farul Constanta is played on February 13, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Ilie Oană, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.