Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 20Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Complex Sportiv Craiova, Craiova
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Oţelul. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul?
Universitatea Craiova starts as the favourite with a 201-point Elo edge (1,914 vs 1,714).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Craiova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Oţelul have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 1-5 | Cupa României |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrolul Ploiesti(away) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti(home) | 1-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universitatea Craiova win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Oţelul win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul 1-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 1-0 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Oţelul 1-0 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Oţelul | Liga I |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 1-2 Oţelul | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Oţelul 1-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Oţelul vs Universitatea Craiova on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oţelul score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Oţelul | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Craiova sit 4th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and Oţelul sit 9th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
| 9 | Oţelul | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 73%, against 18% for a draw and 9% for Oţelul.
- Where and when is Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul played?
- Universitatea Craiova vs Oţelul is played on December 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Sportiv Craiova, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.