Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti: prediction and stats
Liga IRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Complex Sportiv Craiova, Craiova
The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Bucuresti. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Universitatea Craiova (1,915) and Dinamo Bucuresti (1,830).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Universitatea Craiova have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Dinamo Bucuresti have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 3-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | KuPS(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Arges Pitesti(home) | 0-1 | Liga I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Universitatea Cluj(home) | 2-1 | Liga I |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rapid(away) | 1-0 | Liga I |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Voluntari(home) | 4-0 | Liga I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Oţelul(away) | 1-1 | Liga I |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova(home) | 5-1 | Liga I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Universitatea Craiova win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Dinamo Bucuresti win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti 5-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| May 3, 2026 | Universitatea Craiova 2-1 Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti 0-0 Universitatea Craiova | Cupa României |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti 0-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Dinamo Bucuresti 1-1 Universitatea Craiova | Liga I |
| Sep 26, 2025 | Universitatea Craiova 2-2 Dinamo Bucuresti | Liga I |
Last archived meeting: Dinamo Bucuresti vs Universitatea Craiova on Jul 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Universitatea Craiova score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dinamo Bucuresti score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Craiova | 1.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Dinamo Bucuresti | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Universitatea Craiova sit 4th in Liga I (10 points from 6 matches) and Dinamo Bucuresti sit 1st (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Universitatea Craiova | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti?
- The Footlab model makes Universitatea Craiova the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Dinamo Bucuresti.
- Where and when is Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti played?
- Universitatea Craiova vs Dinamo Bucuresti is played on November 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Complex Sportiv Craiova, in the Liga I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.