Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Olympic, Ulcinj
The Footlab model makes Mornar the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Otrant-Olympic. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar?
Mornar starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,619 vs 1,473).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Otrant-Olympic have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Mornar have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dečić(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 4-1 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Atlètic Club d'Escaldes(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Otrant-Olympic win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Mornar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | Otrant-Olympic 6-2 Mornar | First League |
| Dec 7, 2024 | Mornar 1-0 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| Oct 2, 2024 | Otrant-Olympic 1-2 Mornar | First League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Mornar 0-1 Otrant-Olympic | First League |
| Jul 4, 2020 | Otrant-Olympic 4-3 Mornar | Second League |
| Mar 8, 2020 | Mornar 1-0 Otrant-Olympic | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar on Apr 6, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Otrant-Olympic score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mornar score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otrant-Olympic | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Mornar | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Otrant-Olympic sit 7th in First League (4 points from 4 matches) and Mornar sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mornar | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Otrant-Olympic | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar?
- The Footlab model makes Mornar the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Otrant-Olympic.
- Where and when is Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar played?
- Otrant-Olympic vs Mornar is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Olympic, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.