Dečić vs Sutjeska: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Tuško Polje, Tuzi
The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sutjeska. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dečić vs Sutjeska?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Dečić (1,545) and Sutjeska (1,528).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dečić have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Sutjeska have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(away) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Arsenal Tivat(home) | 0-0 | First League |
| Jul 15, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jezero(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 1-4 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Buducnost Podgorica(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | ML Vitebsk(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dečić win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Sutjeska win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Sutjeska 3-0 Dečić | First League |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Dečić 1-2 Sutjeska | First League |
| Nov 26, 2025 | Dečić 2-1 Sutjeska | Cup |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Sutjeska 3-1 Dečić | First League |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Dečić 3-1 Sutjeska | First League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Dečić 0-1 Sutjeska | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Dečić score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sutjeska score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dečić | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Sutjeska | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dečić sit 1st in First League (10 points from 4 matches) and Sutjeska sit 10th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dečić | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sutjeska | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dečić vs Sutjeska?
- The Footlab model makes Dečić the favourite at 39%, against 31% for a draw and 30% for Sutjeska.
- Where and when is Dečić vs Sutjeska played?
- Dečić vs Sutjeska is played on November 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Tuško Polje, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.