Mornar vs Dečić: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion SRC Topolica, Bar
The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dečić. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mornar vs Dečić?
On Elo ratings, Mornar has 1,600 points and Dečić 1,521.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mornar vs Dečić
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mornar
4-3-3- 11Y. Yao
- 9A. Soussi
- 20N. Medojević
- 97Petar Vukčević
- 17J. Dašić
- 10D. Škrijelj
- 33N. Stijepović
- 6I. Martinović
- 15J. Baošić
- 32V. Ljutica
- 24Benjamin Krijestarac
Dečić
4-3-3- 11U. Djuranovic
- 10M. Đokaj
- 9I. Camaj
- 27D. Kontić
- 16M. Božanović
- 74Petar Pavlićević
- 29N. Braunović
- 15P. Ljuljdjuraj
- 22J. Drešaj
- 17L. Ujkaj
- 25D. Radošević
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 05:24 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mornar have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Dečić have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 3-3 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Otrant-Olympic(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Mornar(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sutjeska(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Petrovac(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Mladost DG(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Jezero(home) | 2-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Mornar wins, 2 draws, 1 Dečić win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Dečić 1-1 Mornar | First League |
| May 28, 2026 | Dečić 0-1 Mornar | Cup |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Mornar 1-0 Dečić | First League |
| Feb 25, 2026 | Dečić 0-0 Mornar | First League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mornar 1-0 Dečić | First League |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Dečić 2-1 Mornar | First League |
How many goals should we expect?
Mornar score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Dečić score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mornar | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Dečić | 0.9 | 1.0 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mornar sit 6th in First League (14 points from 10 matches) and Dečić sit 4th (15 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dečić | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Mornar | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Mornar vs Dečić?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mornar vs Dečić?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mornar the favourite at 52%, against 27% for a draw and 21% for Dečić.
- Where and when is Mornar vs Dečić played?
- Mornar vs Dečić is played on December 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion SRC Topolica, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.