Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 8Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, Heverlee
The Footlab model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke?
Harelbeke starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,749).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Harelbeke have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 14, 2026 | Londerzeel(away) | 0-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Zulte Waregem II(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Diksmuide(away) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Harelbeke score 1.6 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Harelbeke | 1.6 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke?
- The Footlab model makes Harelbeke the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke played?
- Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Harelbeke is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at King Power at Den Dreef Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.