Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Armand Melis Stadion, Dessel
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Dessel Sport. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Dessel Sport (1,818) and Spouwen-Mopertingen (1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dessel Sport have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(home) | 2-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Tienen(away) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Knokke(home) | 4-3 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Dessel Sport win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-0 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Dessel Sport 3-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Dessel Sport 0-0 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 1-3 Dessel Sport | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Dessel Sport on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dessel Sport score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 80% probability of over 2.5 goals and 78% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dessel Sport | 1.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dessel Sport sit 7th in First Amateur Division (16 points from 11 matches) and Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st (25 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 7 | Dessel Sport | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 21 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen?
- The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 46%, against 20% for a draw and 34% for Dessel Sport.
- Where and when is Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen played?
- Dessel Sport vs Spouwen-Mopertingen is played on October 17, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Armand Melis Stadion, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 80% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.