Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionVV - 13Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Katteberg, Bilzen
The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
Spouwen-Mopertingen starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,898 vs 1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Spouwen-Mopertingen have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Diegem Sport(away) | 3-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zelzate(home) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 5-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Tienen(home) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | KRC Genk II(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | VVV Venlo(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cercle Brugge II(away) | 4-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Lyra-Lierse Berlaar(home) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Sporting Hasselt(away) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Spouwen-Mopertingen win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 1-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 17, 2025 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 2-1 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Spouwen-Mopertingen 3-2 Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II 4-2 Spouwen-Mopertingen | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Oud-Heverlee Leuven II vs Spouwen-Mopertingen on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Spouwen-Mopertingen score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Oud-Heverlee Leuven II score 2.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spouwen-Mopertingen | 2.1 | 1.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 12/15 |
| Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 2.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Spouwen-Mopertingen sit 1st in First Amateur Division (25 points from 13 matches) and Oud-Heverlee Leuven II sit 11th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spouwen-Mopertingen | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 17 | 25 |
| 11 | Oud-Heverlee Leuven II | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II?
- The Footlab model makes Spouwen-Mopertingen the favourite at 52%, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Oud-Heverlee Leuven II.
- Where and when is Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II played?
- Spouwen-Mopertingen vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven II is played on November 22, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Katteberg, in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.