Oviedo vs Las Palmas: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo
The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Las Palmas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oviedo wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Oviedo (1,892) and Las Palmas (1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oviedo vs Las Palmas
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oviedo
4-2-3-1- 24A. Ișfan
- 6Dani Villahermosa
- 20Pablo Sáenz
- 5Y. Didi
- 11Jacobo González
- 10Alberto Reina
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Las Palmas
4-4-2- 10Jesé
- 14Manu Fuster
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 12E. Loiodice
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 13José Caro
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 07:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oviedo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Las Palmas have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Oviedo wins, 3 draws, 1 Las Palmas win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2023 | Las Palmas 0-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Oviedo 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| May 21, 2022 | Las Palmas 2-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Oviedo 1-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Oviedo 0-0 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Las Palmas 1-2 Oviedo | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Oviedo score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oviedo sit 10th in Segunda División (11 points from 8 matches) and Las Palmas sit 11th (11 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Oviedo | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 11 |
A question about Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oviedo the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Las Palmas.
- Where and when is Oviedo vs Las Palmas played?
- Oviedo vs Las Palmas is played on November 1, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.