Oxford United vs Derby: result 1-0 and analysis
ChampionshipRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 18, 2025 at 11:30 AM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
Full time
What was the result of Oxford United vs Derby?
Oxford United won 1-0 on October 18, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 24′S. MillsOxford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Derby have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Watford(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2025 | QPR(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Sheffield Utd(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Bristol City(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Leicester(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2025 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Charlton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Preston(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | West Brom(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Oxford United win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Derby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025 | Derby 0-0 Oxford United | Championship |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Oxford United 1-1 Derby | Championship |
| Dec 29, 2023 | Oxford United 2-3 Derby | League One |
| Aug 15, 2023 | Derby 1-2 Oxford United | League One |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Oxford United 2-3 Derby | League One |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Derby 1-0 Oxford United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Derby vs Oxford United on Feb 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Derby score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Derby | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Derby | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy