Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 21Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Oxigen Bucuresti the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Progresul Mogosoaia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxigen Bucuresti wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,455 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Oxigen Bucuresti (1,500) and Progresul Mogosoaia (1,505).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxigen Bucuresti
Not enough data to predict the Oxigen Bucuresti lineup.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 8 matches in all competitions, Oxigen Bucuresti have 3 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats; Progresul Mogosoaia have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Oxigen Bucuresti score 1.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 8; Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.8 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxigen Bucuresti | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 8 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxigen Bucuresti sit 9th in Liga III - Serie 5 (7 points from 7 matches) and Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxigen Bucuresti the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Progresul Mogosoaia.
- Where and when is Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia played?
- Oxigen Bucuresti vs Progresul Mogosoaia is played on March 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.