Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 5Group 5 - 10Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Oxigen Bucuresti. The most likely score is 1-1. If Progresul Mogosoaia wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Progresul Mogosoaia (1,506) and Oxigen Bucuresti (1,502).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Progresul Mogosoaia
Not enough data to predict the Progresul Mogosoaia lineup.
Oxigen Bucuresti
Not enough data to predict the Oxigen Bucuresti lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Progresul Mogosoaia have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Oxigen Bucuresti have 3, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | LPS HD Clinceni(home) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Omega Sport(away) | 0-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cetatea(home) | 2-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Dinamo Bucureşti II(away) | 2-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Voluntari II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Axi Adunații-Copăceni(away) | 1-0 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | FCSB II(home) | 1-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
How many goals should we expect?
Progresul Mogosoaia score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Oxigen Bucuresti score 1.4 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Progresul Mogosoaia | 1.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Oxigen Bucuresti | 1.4 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Progresul Mogosoaia sit 7th in Liga III - Serie 5 (9 points from 7 matches) and Oxigen Bucuresti sit 9th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Progresul Mogosoaia | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Oxigen Bucuresti | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 7 |
A question about Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti?
- The Footlab AI model makes Progresul Mogosoaia the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 31% for Oxigen Bucuresti.
- Where and when is Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti played?
- Progresul Mogosoaia vs Oxigen Bucuresti is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga III - Serie 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.