Match

Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Starlight Stadium, Victoria, British Columbia

Pacific FCVancouver FC

The Footlab model makes Vancouver FC the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Pacific FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?

Vancouver FC starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,654 vs 1,500).

Pacific FC win22 %
Draw24 %
Vancouver FC win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pacific FC have 0 wins, 4 draws and 11 defeats; Vancouver FC have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pacific FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Forge(away)0-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Vancouver FC(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026York United(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)2-3Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026HFX Wanderers FC(away)0-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)0-4Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026Pacific FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026Forge(away)1-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)3-1Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pacific FC win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Vancouver FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Vancouver FC 1-1 Pacific FCCanadian Premier League
Jun 14, 2026Vancouver FC 2-1 Pacific FCCanadian Premier League
May 3, 2026Pacific FC 1-3 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Sep 13, 2025Pacific FC 1-1 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League
Aug 10, 2025Vancouver FC 2-3 Pacific FCCanadian Premier League
Jun 28, 2025Pacific FC 4-4 Vancouver FCCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Vancouver FC vs Pacific FC on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pacific FC score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vancouver FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pacific FC0.92.1011/159/15
Vancouver FC1.61.339/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pacific FC sit 8th in Canadian Premier League (5 points from 17 matches) and Vancouver FC sit 4th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Vancouver FC19838262227
8Pacific FC17051218365

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC?
The Footlab model makes Vancouver FC the favourite at 54%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Pacific FC.
Where and when is Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC played?
Pacific FC vs Vancouver FC is played on September 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Starlight Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Pacific FC and Vancouver FC

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