Where and when is Vancouver FC vs York United played?

Vancouver FC vs York United is played on September 24, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Willoughby Community Park at the Langley Events Centre, in the Canadian Premier League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Vancouver FC vs York United: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 24, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Willoughby Community Park at the Langley Events Centre, Langley, British Columbia

Vancouver FC

York United

The Footlab model makes Vancouver FC the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for York United. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Vancouver FC vs York United?

A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Vancouver FC (1,654) and York United (1,643).

Vancouver FC win62 %

Draw22 %

York United win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Vancouver FC have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; York United have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Vancouver FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(away)	0-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(away)	0-4	Canadian Premier League
Aug 15, 2026	Pacific FC(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 7, 2026	Forge(away)	1-0	Canadian Premier League
Aug 1, 2026	Atlético Ottawa(home)	3-1	Canadian Premier League

York United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Supra du Quebec(home)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026	HFX Wanderers FC(home)	4-3	Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026	Pacific FC(away)	1-1	Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026	Cavalry FC(away)	0-5	Canadian Premier League
Jul 26, 2026	Forge(home)	1-3	Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Vancouver FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 York United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 4, 2026	Vancouver FC 4-0 York United	Canadian Premier League
Apr 19, 2026	York United 1-0 Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League
Sep 21, 2025	Vancouver FC 2-1 York United	Canadian Premier League
Jul 19, 2025	York United 4-0 Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League
May 25, 2025	York United 1-0 Vancouver FC	Canadian Premier League
Apr 6, 2025	Vancouver FC 0-2 York United	Canadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Vancouver FC vs York United on Jul 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Vancouver FC score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; York United score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Vancouver FC	1.6	1.3	3	9/15	9/15
York United	1.2	2.3	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Vancouver FC sit 4th in Canadian Premier League (27 points from 19 matches) and York United sit 7th (17 points from 15 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Vancouver FC	19	8	3	8	26	22	27
7	York United	15	4	5	6	20	34	17

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Vancouver FC vs York United?: The Footlab model makes Vancouver FC the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for York United.
Where and when is Vancouver FC vs York United played?: Vancouver FC vs York United is played on September 24, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Willoughby Community Park at the Langley Events Centre, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.