Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Breite Bruch, Paderborn
The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Paderborn II (1,917) and Bergisch Gladbach (1,916).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paderborn II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bergisch Gladbach have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Wiedenbrück(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bergisch Gladbach score 3.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Bergisch Gladbach | 3.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paderborn II sit 10th in Regionalliga - West (5 points from 4 matches) and Bergisch Gladbach sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | Bergisch Gladbach | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Paderborn II the favourite at 40%, against 25% for a draw and 35% for Bergisch Gladbach.
- Where and when is Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach played?
- Paderborn II vs Bergisch Gladbach is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Breite Bruch, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsSportfreunde Lotte
- Oct 31, 2026Bonner SCvsSchalke 04 II
- Oct 31, 2026SV RodinghausenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Oct 31, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsFC Gutersloh
- Oct 31, 2026Borussia M'gladbach IIvsHilden
- Oct 31, 2026FC BocholtvsKöln II
- Oct 31, 2026WiedenbrückvsRot-weiss Oberhausen
- Oct 31, 2026Sportfreunde SiegenvsBochum II