Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II?
A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,922) and Paderborn II (1,917).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hilden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Westfalia Rhynern(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | TSV Steinbach(away) | 8-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bonner SC(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Schalke 04 II(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 25, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 5-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Paderborn II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen 2-1 Paderborn II | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 29, 2025 | Paderborn II 0-2 Sportfreunde Siegen | Regionalliga - West |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Paderborn II 0-0 Sportfreunde Siegen | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Sportfreunde Siegen 0-2 Paderborn II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 29, 2022 | Sportfreunde Siegen 0-3 Paderborn II | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 19, 2021 | Paderborn II 3-1 Sportfreunde Siegen | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II on Feb 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Siegen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Paderborn II | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Paderborn II | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 |
| 18 | Sportfreunde Siegen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II?
- The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Paderborn II.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II played?
- Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 2, 2026Sportfreunde LottevsBergisch Gladbach
- Sep 2, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 2, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Sep 2, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsSchalke 04 II
- Sep 2, 2026FC BocholtvsBonner SC
- Sep 2, 2026WiedenbrückvsBorussia M'gladbach II
- Sep 2, 2026FC GuterslohvsHilden
- Sep 2, 2026Bochum IIvsKöln II