Match

Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - WestWest - 6Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Leimbachstadion, Siegen

Sportfreunde SiegenPaderborn II

The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Paderborn II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II?

A very open match: only 5 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Siegen (1,922) and Paderborn II (1,917).

Sportfreunde Siegen win43 %
Draw26 %
Paderborn II win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Siegen have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Paderborn II have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sportfreunde Siegen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)0-0Regionalliga - West
Aug 14, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)0-2Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Hilden(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)2-3Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026TSV Steinbach(away)8-2Friendlies Clubs
Paderborn II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bonner SC(home)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 15, 2026SV Rodinghausen(away)1-1Regionalliga - West
Aug 8, 2026Borussia M'gladbach II(home)1-3Regionalliga - West
Aug 1, 2026Schalke 04 II(away)3-2Regionalliga - West
Jul 25, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sportfreunde Siegen win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Paderborn II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Sportfreunde Siegen 2-1 Paderborn IIRegionalliga - West
Aug 29, 2025Paderborn II 0-2 Sportfreunde SiegenRegionalliga - West
Apr 15, 2023Paderborn II 0-0 Sportfreunde SiegenOberliga - Westfalen
Oct 23, 2022Sportfreunde Siegen 0-2 Paderborn IIOberliga - Westfalen
May 29, 2022Sportfreunde Siegen 0-3 Paderborn IIOberliga - Westfalen
Sep 19, 2021Paderborn II 3-1 Sportfreunde SiegenOberliga - Westfalen

Last archived meeting: Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sportfreunde Siegen score 2.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Paderborn II score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sportfreunde Siegen2.31.548/1510/15
Paderborn II1.71.3310/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sportfreunde Siegen sit 18th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Paderborn II sit 10th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Paderborn II4121675
18Sportfreunde Siegen4022362

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II?
The Footlab model makes Sportfreunde Siegen the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Paderborn II.
Where and when is Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II played?
Sportfreunde Siegen vs Paderborn II is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Leimbachstadion, in the Regionalliga - West.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sportfreunde Siegen and Paderborn II

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