Padova vs Cremonese: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cremonese wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Cremonese?
Cremonese starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,853 vs 1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Cremonese
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Cremonese
4-2-3-1- 90F. Bonazzoli
- 27J. Vandeputte
- 2M. Thorsby
- 18M. Collocolo
- 33A. Grassi
- 71S. Elia
- 15M. Bianchetti
- 5S. Luperto
- 6F. Baschirotto
- 3G. Pezzella
- 1A. Fulignati
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Cremonese have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Juventus(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Padova wins, 2 draws, 1 Cremonese win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese 3-1 Padova | Serie B |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Cremonese 0-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Sep 23, 2018 | Padova 1-1 Cremonese | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cremonese score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Cremonese | 1.3 | 0.8 | 9 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Cremonese sit 15th (6 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
A question about Padova vs Cremonese?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Cremonese?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cremonese the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Padova.
- Where and when is Padova vs Cremonese played?
- Padova vs Cremonese is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.