Carrarese vs Padova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 21Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio dei Marmi, Carrara
The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Carrarese wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,761 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Carrarese vs Padova?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Carrarese (1,807) and Padova (1,799).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Carrarese vs Padova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Carrarese
3-5-2- 9F. Abiuso
- 10T. Rubino
- 73J. Rouhi
- 18Nicolás Schiavi
- 77G. Parlanti
- 7N. Belloni
- 23M. Braunöder
- 6F. Oliana
- 13F. Ruggeri
- 33F. Reale
- 1S. Pizzignacco
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 15K. Lasagna
- 21E. Zuelli
- 34M. Cocchi
- 24L. Carissoni
- 14M. Pompetti
- 6G. Giunti
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Carrarese have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Padova have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Modena(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova(away) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Empoli(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Carrarese win, 1 draw, 1 Padova win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Padova 0-2 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Feb 10, 2026 | Padova 1-0 Carrarese | Serie B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Carrarese 0-0 Padova | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Carrarese score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carrarese | 0.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Carrarese sit 12th in Serie B (7 points from 7 matches) and Padova sit 14th (7 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 7 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Carrarese vs Padova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Carrarese vs Padova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Carrarese the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Padova.
- Where and when is Carrarese vs Padova played?
- Carrarese vs Padova is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio dei Marmi, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.