Sudtirol vs Benevento: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Benevento wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Benevento?
Benevento starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,931 vs 1,783).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudtirol vs Benevento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Benevento
4-1-3-2- 9F. Salvemini
- 29D. Okereke
- 11D. Lamesta
- 8M. Maita
- 6A. Siatounis
- 28C. Kouan
- 14S. Scognamillo
- 23P. Saio
- 77E. Pierozzi
- 20P. Beruatto
- 26G. Vannucchi
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Benevento have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cesena(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Frosinone(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Sudtirol win, 2 draws, 0 Benevento wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benevento 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Mar 1, 2023 | Benevento 0-2 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Oct 9, 2022 | Sudtirol 1-1 Benevento | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Benevento vs Sudtirol on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Benevento score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Benevento | 1.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 4th in Serie B (12 points from 6 matches) and Benevento sit 8th (10 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 10 |
A question about Sudtirol vs Benevento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Benevento?
- The Footlab AI model makes Benevento the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Benevento played?
- Sudtirol vs Benevento is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.