Padova vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab model makes Padova the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Hellas Verona?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Padova (1,877) and Hellas Verona (1,885).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Hellas Verona have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Udinese(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Monza(away) | 3-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cittadella(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Lecco(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dolomiti Bellunesi(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Rovereto(home) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Padova win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hellas Verona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2019 | Padova 3-0 Hellas Verona | Serie B |
| Aug 26, 2018 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Padova | Serie B |
Last archived meeting: Padova vs Hellas Verona on Jan 20, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 1.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 49 | 46 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab model makes Padova the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Padova vs Hellas Verona played?
- Padova vs Hellas Verona is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.