Empoli vs Hellas Verona: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, Empoli
The Footlab AI model makes Empoli the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Hellas Verona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Empoli wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Empoli vs Hellas Verona?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Empoli (1,798) and Hellas Verona (1,868).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Empoli vs Hellas Verona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Empoli
3-5-2- 10E. Saporiti
- 11S. Shpendi
- 8L. Magnino
- 91N. Corrado
- 15J. Ceesay
- 39E. Biondini
- 21Gerard Yepes
- 33C. Cauz
- 25M. Curto
- 6S. Romagnoli
- 12J. Seghetti
Hellas Verona
4-4-2- 25D. Mosquera
- 14D. Livramento
- 9A. Sarr
- 17A. Le Borgne
- 44E. Iannoni
- 23N. Lella
- 4G. Zappa
- 27P. Dawidowicz
- 71D. De Battisti
- 5A. Edmundsson
- 34S. Perilli
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:29 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Empoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hellas Verona have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Palermo(home) | 2-4 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Modena(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Carrarese(away) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Mantova(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Modena(away) | 2-3 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | FC Lugano(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vicenza Virtus(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benevento(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Arezzo(home) | 5-0 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Empoli win, 2 draws, 3 Hellas Verona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 25, 2025 | Empoli 1-2 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Hellas Verona 1-4 Empoli | Serie A |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Hellas Verona 2-1 Empoli | Serie A |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Empoli 0-1 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
| May 28, 2023 | Hellas Verona 1-1 Empoli | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2022 | Empoli 1-1 Hellas Verona | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Empoli vs Hellas Verona on May 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Empoli score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hellas Verona score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Hellas Verona | 2.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Empoli sit 13th in Serie B (6 points from 6 matches) and Hellas Verona sit 9th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 7 |
| 13 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Empoli vs Hellas Verona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Empoli vs Hellas Verona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Empoli the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Hellas Verona.
- Where and when is Empoli vs Hellas Verona played?
- Empoli vs Hellas Verona is played on November 28, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Carlo Castellani – Computer Gross Arena, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.