Virtus Entella vs Cesena: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 2Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Chiavari, Chiavari
The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Cesena. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Virtus Entella (1,882) and Cesena (1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Virtus Entella have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cesena have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hellas Verona(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Novara(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Empoli(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 2-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Sassuolo(away) | 0-3 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Forli(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fossombrone(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2026 | Padova(home) | 3-4 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Virtus Entella win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Cesena win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Virtus Entella 3-1 Cesena | Serie B |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Cesena 1-1 Virtus Entella | Serie B |
| Mar 1, 2024 | Cesena 4-0 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Virtus Entella 0-1 Cesena | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Cesena 2-2 Virtus Entella | Coppa Italia |
| Mar 14, 2023 | Cesena 4-0 Virtus Entella | Serie C - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Virtus Entella vs Cesena on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Virtus Entella score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cesena score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtus Entella | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cesena | 1.1 | 1.4 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Virtus Entella sit 14th in Serie B (42 points from 38 matches) and Cesena sit 11th (46 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45 | 56 | 46 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 51 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Virtus Entella vs Cesena?
- The Footlab model makes Virtus Entella the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Cesena.
- Where and when is Virtus Entella vs Cesena played?
- Virtus Entella vs Cesena is played on August 29, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Chiavari, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.