Padova vs Mantova: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padova
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Padova. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Padova vs Mantova?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Padova (1,753) and Mantova (1,831).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Padova vs Mantova
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Padova
3-5-2- 9L. Moro
- 20M. Bortolussi
- 21E. Zuelli
- 8P. Fusi
- 34M. Cocchi
- 17A. Capelli
- 10G. Caprari
- 27Alessandro Dellavalle
- 5M. Lovato
- 58C. Pastina
- 22A. Sorrentino
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 30D. Bragantini
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:16 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Padova have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Mantova have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Carrarese(home) | 0-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 1-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cremonese(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Hellas Verona(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Padova win, 2 draws, 3 Mantova wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Padova 1-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Mantova 1-0 Padova | Serie B |
| Jan 8, 2024 | Padova 0-5 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Sep 4, 2023 | Mantova 1-1 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Mantova 1-3 Padova | Serie C - Girone A |
| Dec 17, 2022 | Padova 1-1 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Padova score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padova | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Padova sit 10th in Serie B (7 points from 6 matches) and Mantova sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 10 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
A question about Padova vs Mantova?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Padova vs Mantova?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Padova.
- Where and when is Padova vs Mantova played?
- Padova vs Mantova is played on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Euganeo, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.