Mantova vs Sudtirol: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 29Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Danilo Martelli, Mantova
The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1. If Mantova wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mantova vs Sudtirol?
On Elo ratings, Mantova has 1,873 points and Sudtirol 1,825.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Mantova vs Sudtirol
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Mantova
3-4-2-1- 30D. Bragantini
- 50F. Benaissa-Yahia
- 8R. Ilie
- 25L. Ignacchiti
- 19F. Ruocco
- 41Jonathan Silva
- 80R. Kouda
- 29S. Cella
- 27A. Castellini
- 5B. Tomašević
- 22F. Bardi
Sudtirol
5-4-1- 90A. Okoro
- 11Vasco Lopes
- 5S. Tronchin
- 10Fabio Rispoli
- 14A. Vasic
- 55A. Giorgini
- 4R. Stivanello
- 79S. Molina
- 27G. Stabile
- 24S. Davì
- 22A. Plizzari
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mantova have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Sudtirol have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Pisa(home) | 2-2 | Serie B |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sampdoria(home) | 2-0 | Serie B |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Palermo(away) | 2-5 | Coppa Italia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ascoli(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 4-1 | Serie B |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Modena(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Mantova wins, 3 draws, 1 Sudtirol win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Sudtirol 0-3 Mantova | Serie B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mantova 1-1 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Mantova 2-0 Sudtirol | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Serie B |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 2-2 Mantova | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Sudtirol 1-0 Mantova | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Mantova score 2.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Sudtirol score 1.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mantova | 2.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Sudtirol | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mantova sit 2nd in Serie B (14 points from 6 matches) and Sudtirol sit 4th (12 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
A question about Mantova vs Sudtirol?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mantova vs Sudtirol?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mantova the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Mantova vs Sudtirol played?
- Mantova vs Sudtirol is played on March 6, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Danilo Martelli, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.