Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus: prediction and stats
Serie BRegular Season - 28Kick-off on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Marco Druso, Bozen
The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sudtirol. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus?
Vicenza Virtus starts as the favourite with a 162-point Elo edge (1,962 vs 1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudtirol have 2 wins, 8 draws and 5 defeats; Vicenza Virtus have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Virtus Entella(home) | 1-0 | Serie B |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 2-2 | Coppa Italia |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Virtus Verona(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 22, 2026 | Bari(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Catanzaro(home) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Catania(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Genoa(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Benevento(home) | 1-4 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
| May 2, 2026 | Arezzo(away) | 5-2 | Serie C - Supercoppa Lega Finals |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sudtirol win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Vicenza Virtus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | Sudtirol 0-1 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 24, 2019 | Sudtirol 2-2 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 25, 2018 | Vicenza Virtus 2-4 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 16, 2018 | Vicenza Virtus 0-1 Sudtirol | Serie C - Girone A |
| Oct 29, 2017 | Sudtirol 1-0 Vicenza Virtus | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus on Dec 1, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Sudtirol score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Vicenza Virtus score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol | 0.7 | 1.4 | 6 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Vicenza Virtus | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudtirol sit 7th in Serie B (3 points from 1 matches) and Vicenza Virtus sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vicenza Virtus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus?
- The Footlab model makes Vicenza Virtus the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Sudtirol.
- Where and when is Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus played?
- Sudtirol vs Vicenza Virtus is played on March 2, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Marco Druso, in the Serie B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.