Paks vs Gyori ETO FC: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Paks. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Gyori ETO FC?
Gyori ETO FC starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,972 vs 1,864).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gyori ETO FC have 5, 8 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 1-1 | NB I |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Riga(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Riga(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Nyiregyhaza(home) | 4-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Paks win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Gyori ETO FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Paks 3-4 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 0-0 Paks | NB I |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Paks 3-3 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Gyori ETO FC 2-0 Paks | NB I |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Paks 1-1 Gyori ETO FC | NB I |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Gyori ETO FC 2-1 Paks | NB I |
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gyori ETO FC score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Gyori ETO FC | 2.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 6th in NB I (7 points from 5 matches) and Gyori ETO FC sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Gyori ETO FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Gyori ETO FC?
- The Footlab model makes Gyori ETO FC the favourite at 42%, against 23% for a draw and 35% for Paks.
- Where and when is Paks vs Gyori ETO FC played?
- Paks vs Gyori ETO FC is played on October 17, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.