Paks vs Puskas Academy: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Puskas Academy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Puskas Academy?
A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Paks (1,861) and Puskas Academy (1,893).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Puskas Academy have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ujpest(home) | 2-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy(away) | 2-3 | NB I |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 2-2 | NB I |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Zalaegerszegi TE(away) | 2-5 | NB I |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Panathinaikos(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vasas(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Paks(home) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Aug 7, 2026 | MTK Budapest(away) | 3-2 | NB I |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(home) | 0-2 | NB I |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(away) | 2-0 | NB I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paks win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Puskas Academy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy 3-2 Paks | NB I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Paks 1-0 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Puskas Academy 1-2 Paks | NB I |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Paks 3-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Paks 2-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Puskas Academy 3-1 Paks | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Puskas Academy vs Paks on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 2.5 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Puskas Academy score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Puskas Academy | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 6th in NB I (7 points from 5 matches) and Puskas Academy sit 1st (12 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 12 |
| 6 | Paks | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Puskas Academy?
- The Footlab model makes Paks the favourite at 47%, against 23% for a draw and 30% for Puskas Academy.
- Where and when is Paks vs Puskas Academy played?
- Paks vs Puskas Academy is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.