Paks vs Puskas Academy: prediction and stats
NB IRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks
The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Paks. The most likely score is 1-1. If Puskas Academy wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paks vs Puskas Academy?
A very open match: only 78 Elo points separate Paks (1,862) and Puskas Academy (1,941).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Paks vs Puskas Academy
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Paks
5-4-1- 7J. Szalai
- 21K. Papp
- 10Z. Haraszti
- 22J. Windecker
- 17M. Pető
- 30J. Szabó
- 14E. Silye
- 2Á. Kinyik
- 24B. Lenzsér
- 15C. Belényesi
- 28M. Gyetván
Puskas Academy
4-4-2- 90A. Németh
- 74M. Kern
- 10P. Dárdai
- 6L. Duarte
- 4Michael Okeke
- 16U. Nissilä
- 14W. Golla
- 21G. Harutyunyan
- 88B. Farkas
- 22R. Szolnoki
- 72B. Lehoczki
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:06 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Puskas Academy have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(home) | 1-2 | NB I |
| Oct 10, 2026 | MTK Budapest(home) | 3-0 | NB I |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Kisvarda FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Kazincbarcikai(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Debreceni VSC(home) | 2-4 | NB I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Ujpest(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gyori ETO FC(away) | 1-0 | NB I |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Dunajska Streda(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Budapest Honved(home) | 3-1 | NB I |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mezőörs(away) | 8-1 | Magyar Kupa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Paks wins, 1 draw, 2 Puskas Academy wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Puskas Academy 3-2 Paks | NB I |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Paks 1-0 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Jan 24, 2026 | Puskas Academy 1-2 Paks | NB I |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Paks 3-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Paks 2-2 Puskas Academy | NB I |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Puskas Academy 3-1 Paks | NB I |
Last archived meeting: Puskas Academy vs Paks on Aug 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paks score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Puskas Academy score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paks | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Puskas Academy | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paks sit 6th in NB I (14 points from 10 matches) and Puskas Academy sit 1st (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 21 |
| 6 | Paks | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 14 |
A question about Paks vs Puskas Academy?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paks vs Puskas Academy?
- The Footlab AI model makes Puskas Academy the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Paks.
- Where and when is Paks vs Puskas Academy played?
- Paks vs Puskas Academy is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.