Match

MTK Budapest vs Vasas: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 10Kick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, Budapest

MTK BudapestVasas

The Footlab AI model makes Vasas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 1-1. If Vasas wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate MTK Budapest (1,769) and Vasas (1,863).

32%25%43%
MTK Budapest winDrawVasas win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for MTK Budapest vs Vasas

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1
  1. 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  1. 11G. Jurek
  2. 80Adrian Zeljković
  3. 6M. Kata
  4. 77G. Komáromi
  5. 17K. Hinora
  1. 26V. Armalas
  2. 4I. Beriashvili
  3. 55S. Radić
  4. 13M. Timoteus
  1. 1P. Demjén

Vasas

4-2-3-1
  1. 9M. Koszta
  1. 88J. Urblík
  2. 10M. Kovácsréti
  3. 77M. Tóth
  4. 15S. Hidi
  5. 16B. Rab
  1. 17Dániel Csóka
  2. 57P. Iyinbor
  3. 4B. Pávkovics
  4. 14Á. Doktorics
  1. 87M. Engedi

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 02:14 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, MTK Budapest have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Vasas have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

MTK Budapest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Paks(away)0-3NB I
Sep 20, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026Mezokovesd-zsory(away)2-0Magyar Kupa
Sep 5, 2026Kisvarda FC(home)1-2NB I
Aug 28, 2026Debreceni VSC(away)2-2NB I
Vasas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Kisvarda FC(home)1-1NB I
Sep 19, 2026Debreceni VSC(away)4-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026TFSE Budapest(away)3-1Magyar Kupa
Sep 4, 2026Nyiregyhaza(home)3-2NB I
Aug 29, 2026Ujpest(away)1-3NB I

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 MTK Budapest wins, 0 draws, 2 Vasas wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 1, 2026MTK Budapest 3-1 VasasFriendlies Clubs
Mar 14, 2020MTK Budapest 3-1 VasasNB II
Sep 18, 2019Vasas 1-4 MTK BudapestNB II
Mar 11, 2017MTK Budapest 1-0 VasasNB I
Oct 15, 2016Vasas 3-2 MTK BudapestNB I
Jul 17, 2016MTK Budapest 0-1 VasasNB I

Last archived meeting: MTK Budapest vs Vasas on Jul 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

MTK Budapest score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Vasas score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
MTK Budapest1.71.9310/1512/15
Vasas2.31.1311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

MTK Budapest sit 9th in NB I (9 points from 9 matches) and Vasas sit 2nd (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Vasas9432181215
9MTK Budapest923415179

A question about MTK Budapest vs Vasas?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for MTK Budapest vs Vasas?
The Footlab AI model makes Vasas the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for MTK Budapest.
Where and when is MTK Budapest vs Vasas played?
MTK Budapest vs Vasas is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hidegkuti Nándor Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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