Match

Paks vs MTK Budapest: prediction and stats

NB IRegular Season - 31Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Paksi FC Stadion, Paks

PaksMTK Budapest

The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for MTK Budapest. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Paks vs MTK Budapest?

Paks starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,805).

60%21%19%
Paks winDrawMTK Budapest win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Paks vs MTK Budapest

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Paks

5-3-2
  1. 7J. Szalai
  2. 9J. Hahn
  1. 21K. Papp
  2. 17M. Pető
  3. 8B. Balogh
  1. 14E. Silye
  2. 2Á. Kinyik
  3. 24B. Lenzsér
  4. 30J. Szabó
  5. 5B. Vécsei
  1. 28M. Gyetván

MTK Budapest

4-2-3-1
  1. 20Zalán Márk Kerezsi
  1. 11G. Jurek
  2. 6M. Kata
  3. 80Adrian Zeljković
  4. 77G. Komáromi
  5. 8A. G. Zubor
  1. 26V. Armalas
  2. 4I. Beriashvili
  3. 55S. Radić
  4. 13M. Timoteus
  1. 1P. Demjén

Computed on October 26, 2026 at 04:55 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paks have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; MTK Budapest have 5, 4 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Paks
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Vasas(away)2-0NB I
Oct 17, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Oct 10, 2026MTK Budapest(home)3-0NB I
Sep 19, 2026Kisvarda FC(away)1-0NB I
Sep 12, 2026Kazincbarcikai(away)2-1Magyar Kupa
MTK Budapest
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Ferencvarosi TC(away)0-5NB I
Oct 16, 2026Vasas(home)1-0NB I
Oct 10, 2026Paks(away)0-3NB I
Sep 20, 2026Gyori ETO FC(home)1-2NB I
Sep 12, 2026Mezokovesd-zsory(away)2-0Magyar Kupa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Paks wins, 0 draws, 0 MTK Budapest wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Paks 3-0 MTK BudapestNB I
Mar 20, 2026MTK Budapest 0-2 PaksNB I
Dec 6, 2025Paks 3-1 MTK BudapestNB I
Aug 24, 2025MTK Budapest 2-3 PaksNB I
Apr 11, 2025MTK Budapest 1-2 PaksNB I
Dec 7, 2024Paks 4-2 MTK BudapestNB I

Last archived meeting: Paks vs MTK Budapest on Oct 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Paks score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; MTK Budapest score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Paks1.91.9411/1511/15
MTK Budapest1.51.848/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Paks sit 4th in NB I (17 points from 11 matches) and MTK Budapest sit 9th (12 points from 11 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Paks11524221917
9MTK Budapest11335162212

A question about Paks vs MTK Budapest?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Paks vs MTK Budapest?
The Footlab AI model makes Paks the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for MTK Budapest.
Where and when is Paks vs MTK Budapest played?
Paks vs MTK Budapest is played on May 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Paksi FC Stadion, in the NB I.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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