Match

Palestine vs Iran: prediction and stats

FriendliesFriendly InternationalKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), ad-Dōha (Doha)

PalestineIran

The Footlab AI model makes Iran the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Palestine. The most likely score is 1-1. If Iran wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palestine vs Iran?

Iran starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,783 vs 1,569).

32%28%40%
Palestine winDrawIran win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Palestine vs Iran

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Palestine

4-2-3-1
  1. 12A. Al Hamlawi
  1. 11Oday Dabbagh
  2. 10Khalied Alnabrisi
  3. 21Zaid Qunbar
  4. 24Badr Moussa
  5. 19A. Manzur
  1. 3K. El Haija
  2. 5Ameed Sawafta
  3. 2W. Nabhan
  4. 15Michel Termanini
  1. 22Rami Hamadeh

Iran

5-4-1
  1. 20S. Azmoun
  1. 9M. Taremi
  2. 6S. Ezatolahi
  3. 16M. Ghorbani
  4. 29M. Mohebi
  1. 17A. Yousefi
  2. 2Saleh Hardani
  3. 19A. Nemati
  4. 4S. Khalilzadeh
  5. 23R. Rezaeian
  1. 22H. Hosseini

Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:43 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palestine have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Iran have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palestine
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026China(away)5-0Friendlies
Sep 30, 2026Konyaspor(away)2-2Friendlies
Sep 28, 2026Tajikistan(away)4-2Friendlies
Sep 24, 2026New Zealand(home)2-2Friendlies
Jun 9, 2026Kyrgyzstan(away)0-0Friendlies
Iran
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 29, 2026Russia(away)0-2Friendlies
Sep 24, 2026Uzbekistan(away)1-3Friendlies
Jun 27, 2026Egypt(away)1-1World Cup
Jun 21, 2026Belgium(away)0-0World Cup
Jun 16, 2026New Zealand(home)2-2World Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Palestine wins, 0 draws, 1 Iran win.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 14, 2024Iran 4-1 PalestineAsian Cup

Last archived meeting: Iran vs Palestine on Jan 14, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Palestine score 1.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Iran score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Palestine1.31.276/159/15
Iran1.31.167/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Palestine vs Iran?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palestine vs Iran?
The Footlab AI model makes Iran the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Palestine.
Where and when is Palestine vs Iran played?
Palestine vs Iran is played on November 14, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium (Al-Sadd Stadium), in the Friendlies.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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