Saudi Arabia vs Palestine: prediction and stats
Asian CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)King Fahd Sports City Stadium, Riyadh
The Footlab model makes Saudi Arabia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Palestine. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saudi Arabia vs Palestine?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Saudi Arabia (1,643) and Palestine (1,546).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saudi Arabia have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Palestine have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 27, 2026 | Cape Verde Islands(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Spain(away) | 0-4 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2026 | Uruguay(home) | 1-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Puerto Rico(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Saudi Arabia(home) | 1-2 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Syria(away) | 0-0 | Arab Cup |
| Dec 4, 2025 | Tunisia(home) | 2-2 | Arab Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saudi Arabia win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Palestine win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | Palestine 1-2 Saudi Arabia | Arab Cup |
| Jan 9, 2024 | Saudi Arabia 0-0 Palestine | Friendlies |
| Dec 4, 2021 | Palestine 1-1 Saudi Arabia | Arab Cup |
| Mar 30, 2021 | Saudi Arabia 5-0 Palestine | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Oct 15, 2019 | Palestine 0-0 Saudi Arabia | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Nov 9, 2015 | Palestine 0-0 Saudi Arabia | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
Last archived meeting: Palestine vs Saudi Arabia on Dec 11, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Saudi Arabia score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palestine score 0.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabia | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Palestine | 0.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saudi Arabia vs Palestine?
- The Footlab model makes Saudi Arabia the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Palestine.
- Where and when is Saudi Arabia vs Palestine played?
- Saudi Arabia vs Palestine is played on January 7, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at King Fahd Sports City Stadium, in the Asian Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.