Match

Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT: prediction and stats

Copa Fares LopesGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)

PalmaciaTirol/CEFAT

The Footlab AI model makes Palmacia the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tirol/CEFAT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palmacia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT?

A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Palmacia (1,465) and Tirol/CEFAT (1,550).

40%27%33%
Palmacia winDrawTirol/CEFAT win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Palmacia

Not enough data to predict the Palmacia lineup.

Tirol/CEFAT

Not enough data to predict the Tirol/CEFAT lineup.

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Palmacia have 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Tirol/CEFAT have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Palmacia
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 30, 2026Pacatuba(home)2-2Cearense - 3
Aug 23, 2026Esporte Limoeiro(away)0-3Cearense - 3
Aug 18, 2026Tianguá(home)0-1Cearense - 3
Aug 8, 2026Vila Real(away)1-2Cearense - 3
Aug 2, 2026Acopiara(home)2-3Cearense - 3
Tirol/CEFAT
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 13, 2026Piauí(away)1-2Serie D
Jun 1, 2026Ferroviario(home)0-0Serie D
May 26, 2026Uniclinic Atletico Clube(away)3-0Serie D
May 16, 2026Fluminense PI(home)1-1Serie D
May 9, 2026Altos(home)1-0Serie D

How many goals should we expect?

Palmacia score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 6; Tirol/CEFAT score 1.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Palmacia0.82.003/64/6
Tirol/CEFAT1.01.168/156/15

Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.

A question about Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT?
The Footlab AI model makes Palmacia the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Tirol/CEFAT.
Where and when is Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT played?
Palmacia vs Tirol/CEFAT is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC), in the Copa Fares Lopes.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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