Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo: result 1-0 and analysis
Paulista - A1Semi-finalsKick-off on March 11, 2025 at 12:35 AM (UTC)Allianz Parque, São Paulo, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo?
Palmeiras won 1-0 on March 11, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′Raphael VeigaPalmeiras (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Palmeiras have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Sao Paulo have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | São Bernardo(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Mirassol(away) | 3-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | Botafogo SP(home) | 3-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 3-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2025 | Novorizontino(home) | 1-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | São Bernardo(away) | 3-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Ponte Preta(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | Velo Clube(home) | 3-3 | Paulista - A1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Palmeiras win(s), 4 draw(s), 0 Sao Paulo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo | Paulista - A1 |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-1 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Sao Paulo 0-0 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Sao Paulo 1-1 Palmeiras | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Palmeiras 0-0 Sao Paulo | Supercopa do Brasil |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Palmeiras 5-0 Sao Paulo | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo on Feb 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Sao Paulo score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sao Paulo | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Palmeiras sit 2nd in Paulista - A1 (16 points from 8 matches) and Sao Paulo sit 6th (13 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Palmeiras | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 16 |
| 6 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy