Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Cruzeiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palmeiras wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,785 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Palmeiras starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,921).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cruzeiro
4-2-3-1- 19Kaio Jorge
- 10Matheus Pereira
- 8Gerson
- 99K. Arroyo
- 38Felipe Morais
- 5Zé Lucas
- 43João Marcelo
- 27G. Rojas
- 34Jonathan
- 12William
- 81Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa
Palmeiras
3-4-2-1- 9Vitor Roque
- 30Lucas Evangelista
- 42J. López
- 8Andreas Pereira
- 22J. Piquerez
- 12Khellven
- 4A. Giay
- 2A. Barboza
- 26Murilo
- 15G. Gómez
- 1Carlos Miguel
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 01:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruzeiro have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Palmeiras have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 2-4 | Serie A |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Sao Paulo(home) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Vitoria(away) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Santos(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(home) | 3-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 2-0 | Serie A |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Fluminense(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 4-1 | Serie A |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Gremio(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cruzeiro win, 3 draws, 2 Palmeiras wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Palmeiras 1-1 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Palmeiras 0-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Jun 1, 2025 | Cruzeiro 2-1 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Cruzeiro 1-2 Palmeiras | Serie A |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Palmeiras 2-0 Cruzeiro | Serie A |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Cruzeiro 1-1 Palmeiras | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Palmeiras vs Cruzeiro on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cruzeiro score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Palmeiras score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruzeiro | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Palmeiras | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruzeiro sit 7th in Serie A (48 points from 30 matches) and Palmeiras sit 1st (66 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 31 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 54 | 22 | 66 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 48 |
A question about Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palmeiras the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Cruzeiro.
- Where and when is Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras played?
- Cruzeiro vs Palmeiras is played on November 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.